Market Updates for October 29, 2021

Section Type

Dairy | Eggs

Large -No change

Medium -No change

Small - No change

Retail demand mixed. Supplies of extra large and large well balanced and held confidently. Market steady to full steady.

 

 

Dairy | Butter

Butter- Up

Cream inventories are continuing to tighten as ice cream production starts to compete for raw material and hits it's production stride. Retail sales show signs of decline, but overall are still healthy. With restaurants reopening food service distributors are still coming back to the buying table, but orders are still below expectations. 

Dairy | Cheese

Barrel - Up

Block - Up

The CME Block market responded to the governments release of another billion dollars in the USDA Box program.  Speculators feel this will have an effect on the markets for the short term but will not be sustainable for the long term.

 

 

Meat | Pork

This week's harvest is forecast to be 2.6 million head and hog weights are higher that last year. Higher weights are significant as they suggest that hogs are not being slaughtered early to satisfy demand.  

Bone in Butt prices continue to decline. Boneless Butts are following suit and fewer shortages are being reported. Boneless loin prices continue to decline, current values are favorable for retail features which could give strength to both loins and butts. 

Belly prices have leveled off and are starting to head lower in November. 

Spares and St Louis prices are slightly lower, Back rib prices are stable. 

 

 

 

 

 

Meat | Beef

Harvest numbers are slightly higher than previous year's numbers as smaller cattle have dropped the production pounders per head slightly. Choice grading is starting to slip and currently running a bit below previous years’ percentage. Prime has continued to drop percentage-wise making it even more difficult to come by. Expect to see the choice/select spread to increase as we move closer to September. Logistical issues with both container ships and port warehouses have slowed the processing of imports and exports. Late August and into September should show good numbers of exports as ports and warehouses work on catching up on the backlog of orders.

The choice cutout has started to move higher, up $0.50 bouncing off the dip we had in mid-July. Demand is picking up again as prices became more realistic. Most middle meat items have started to trend higher as retail took interest and took positions in late July. Ribeyes are higher, expect to see these prices for the next few weeks with retailers booking for deep chill programs to support the holidays. Striploin and short loins have captured some retail attention and should keep support under these cuts through most of September. Briskets have been booked up by retail on forward bookings to help cover Labor Day ads with a cheap BBQ beef option, prices have shot back up. End cuts are steady to higher, holding well above historical prices for this time of year. Thin meats and labor-intensive items are steady to slightly higher across the category as labor is an issue across all beef packers and specialty cutters. Grinds have started moving already, retail has already stepped in on ground beef packages for the upcoming holiday.